Poor little Dick…

English: Bust of the Roman poet Lucan, Córdoba...
English: Bust of the Roman poet Lucan, Córdoba, Spain Italiano: Busto del poeta latino Lucano, Cordova, Spagna Español: Busto del poeta romano Lucano, Córdoba, España (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

So, I found Dick saying this about my thesis, without reading the book of course:

I always find it amusing when someone attempts what is a nakedly probability-dependent argument (like that Mark was influenced by and/or emulating Lucan) and then insists no one can apply maths to history. They are only refuting themselves.

via Three New Videos » Richard Carrier Blogs.

Umm… Not sure I did a “probability dependent argument” (Carried still thinks he’s into math and deep theory… mainly just deep… well, you know).

What I did was to lay out a model of education in ancient Rome. Then, I showed what Lucan did, briefly. Then… I suggest we examine Mark in the same manner, giving something of a rhythm to Mark if Lucan is used. Finally, I also gave a reading of Mark by Lucan.

This is not flipping a coin, or trying to gauge decisions in the future, gents, but examining a book in close proximity, with nearly the same cognitive environment, including crisis, with the hopes of establishing a similar viewpoint and perimeter in hopes of identifying a better interpretative stance. Instead of forward (dependability), this is more like establishing an evolving style of imitatio.

This is nothing more than Carrier throwing around concepts he does not understand… again. If he needs help with probability and dependency, he may want to try here.

Two events are dependent if the outcome or occurrence of the first affects the outcome or occurrence of the second so that the probability is changed.

As McGrath says,

If mythicists are going to not take seriously the one individual with a PhD in history who supports mythicism, is it any surprise that mythicism is not taken seriously by others?

Oh, and yes… read the suggested articles…

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Joel L. Watts
Joel L. Watts holds a Masters of Arts from United Theological Seminary with a focus in literary and rhetorical criticism of the New Testament. He is currently a Ph.D. student at the University of the Free State, analyzing Paul’s model of atonement in Galatians. He is the author of Mimetic Criticism of the Gospel of Mark: Introduction and Commentary (Wipf and Stock, 2013), a co-editor and contributor to From Fear to Faith: Stories of Hitting Spiritual Walls (Energion, 2013), and Praying in God's Theater, Meditations on the Book of Revelation (Wipf and Stock, 2014).

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